The City

Tracking the UK’s economic recovery through the lens of six indicators

The UK economy suffered one of its worst economic declines on record in the second quarter, as the government announced a countrywide lockdown on 23rd March 2020 that shuttered businesses and schools across the country. A few days before lockdown began, the Bank of England convened an emergency meeting where the committee unanimously voted to

A view of the Gurkin from the ground.

UK Flash PMIs better-than-expected as all sectors return to growth although hiring remains weak

Flash estimates released this morning by IHS Markit revealed forecast-beating results across both manufacturing and services in the UK. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.6 in July from 50.1 in June, beating expectations for 52. The Services PMI rose to 56.6 in July from 47.1 in June, beating expectations for 51.1, and marking the first

UK services PMI rises but activity remains in contraction

Figures released this morning from IHS Markit’s UK Services PMI showed that whilst this month’s report posted a significantly higher reading than May’s report of 29, it remained below the no-change in activity threshold of 50. This latest release is the highest that the UK Services PMI has been in four months at 47.1, although

UK Manufacturing PMI returns to growth

IHS Markit’s manufacturing PMI released yesterday showed growth in manufacturing activity on the prior month for the first time since the pandemic began. The reading came in at 50.1 indicating a very slight expansion, but nevertheless marked improvement on May’s dire reading of 40.7. The manufacturing output index came in even higher at 50.8, which