The City

Tracking the UK’s economic recovery through the lens of six indicators

The UK economy suffered one of its worst economic declines on record in the second quarter, as the government announced a countrywide lockdown on 23rd March 2020 that shuttered businesses and schools across the country. A few days before lockdown began, the Bank of England convened an emergency meeting where the committee unanimously voted to

St Paul's Cathedral

UK employment remains weak as figures show record decline in total hours worked

Total number of weekly hours worked in Q2 2020 was 849.3m, down a record 203.3m on the previous year and down 191.3m hours on Q1 2020. The employment rate is 76.4%, 0.3% higher than last year, but 0.2% lower than Q1 2020. The unemployment rate is 3.9%, little changed on previous quarter and prior year

A view of the Gurkin from the ground.

UK Flash PMIs better-than-expected as all sectors return to growth although hiring remains weak

Flash estimates released this morning by IHS Markit revealed forecast-beating results across both manufacturing and services in the UK. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.6 in July from 50.1 in June, beating expectations for 52. The Services PMI rose to 56.6 in July from 47.1 in June, beating expectations for 51.1, and marking the first

Newcastle's city centre

UK GDP grew just 1.8% in May as services remained weak

Growing just 1.8% on April, below consensus expectations for 5%, meant GDP in the three months to May remained a seismic 19.1% below the same three-month period last year. Services grew a meagre 0.9%, while industrial and construction output increased 6% and 8.2%, respectively. Services As lockdown restrictions were still largely in force throughout May,

UK services PMI rises but activity remains in contraction

Figures released this morning from IHS Markit’s UK Services PMI showed that whilst this month’s report posted a significantly higher reading than May’s report of 29, it remained below the no-change in activity threshold of 50. This latest release is the highest that the UK Services PMI has been in four months at 47.1, although

UK GDP falls as data shows household consumption weakest since 1979

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released Q1 GDP figures for the UK this morning showing a 2.2% decline on the prior quarter and 1.7% on the prior year, as coronavirus began to wreak havoc on the economy. The UK’s current account balance missed consensus expectations for -£15bn instead coming in at -£21.1bn. The decline

UK Manufacturing PMI returns to growth

IHS Markit’s manufacturing PMI released yesterday showed growth in manufacturing activity on the prior month for the first time since the pandemic began. The reading came in at 50.1 indicating a very slight expansion, but nevertheless marked improvement on May’s dire reading of 40.7. The manufacturing output index came in even higher at 50.8, which

FTSE 100 slightly down as Bank of England boosts its bond-buying by £100m

The FTSE 100 fell 0.47% to 6,224.07 as news out of the Bank of England underwhelmed investors as expectations were for the central bank to be more aggressive. Risk sentiment is hardly being helped by a second wave of infections in Beijing, which has led city authorities to reimpose strict lockdown restrictions. The new cluster

The City

UK stocks down as OECD predicts its growth to be worst of G7

The FTSE 100 fell 0.1% to 6,329.13 as market participants held off on adding risk ahead of the Federal Reserve’s statement. The OECD also released its growth forecasts today predicting the UK would have the toughest road ahead as compared to its G7 peers. If the good news regarding declining Covid-19 infection rates in the

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